Synthetic data only. Never enter patient information; nothing is sent or stored. For clinicians. Not FDA cleared.

CPE-007 · version 1.0.0

Cardiovascular Risk Pattern Engine: risk categories, enhancers and thresholds beyond the standard lipid panel

ACC/AHA categories applied to a risk you enter, with risk enhancers, Lp(a), apoB, calcium score and the 2022 LDL-C thresholds.

20 open rules26 reviewed scenariosDeterministicRuns in your browserReviewed by Dr. Vinicius Amaral, D.O.

A standard lipid panel and a 10-year risk number leave out most of what the 2018 ACC/AHA guideline asks a physician to weigh: risk enhancers, Lp(a), apoB, coronary calcium, and the very-high-risk definition in secondary prevention. The Cardiovascular Risk Pattern Engine puts them in one place.

It does not calculate the 10-year risk. The Pooled Cohort Equations are race-specific and PREVENT is long, and Biod does not hand-code coefficients it cannot verify. You enter the risk from your own validated calculator, and the engine applies the categories that belong to it.

Playground

Load a synthetic case or type your own values. The result recomputes as you type, and every rule links to its page.

10-year risk category (Pooled Cohort Equations)

  1. ○ Low · <5%

    Lifestyle emphasis

  2. ○ Borderline · 5 to <7.5%

    Enhancers inform the discussion

  3. ○ Intermediate · 7.5 to <20%

    Statin discussion favored; CAC can help

  4. ○ High · ≥20%

    Statin benefit is greatest

No stage is assigned for the values entered.

Lipids and risk estimate
  • <100
  • 100–159
  • 160–189
  • ≥190
  • <150
  • 150–499
  • ≥500
  • ≥1000

This engine does not calculate it.

Calculator used
Patient

Recent ACS, prior MI, ischemic stroke, symptomatic PAD.

Age ≥65, HeFH, prior revascularization, diabetes, hypertension, CKD, smoking, HF.

Risk enhancers and extra tests
Lp(a) unit
Treatment and familial risk

Live result · computed in your browser

Caution

LDL-C above the pathway threshold

CV-10

LDL-C 88 mg/dL is at or above 70 mg/dL on therapy. The 2022 ACC pathway makes this the point to consider added therapy after reviewing adherence and tolerability. The choice belongs to the physician.

Detected clinical pattern

Established ASCVD — Secondary Prevention

Clinical ASCVD without the very-high-risk features entered.

  • Category: Secondary prevention

Why this pattern was identified

  • Established ASCVD. Clinical ASCVD without the very-high-risk features entered.

Calculations

Non-HDL cholesterol
116 mg/dL

Total cholesterol minus HDL-C.

Recommended next steps

For physician consideration. Urgent review always comes first.

  1. 1Review adherence and tolerability; physician to consider added therapy per the 2022 ACC pathway.
  2. 2Consider a one-time Lp(a) measurement.ESC/EAS 2019; listed as an enhancer by ACC/AHA 2018.
Evidence and rule trace · 4 rules

CV-CALC-01Derived value

Inputs: total cholesterol 160 · HDL-C 44

Non-HDL cholesterol 116 mg/dL.

CV-01Established ASCVD

Inputs: established ASCVD · 1 major event(s) · 1 high-risk condition(s)

Secondary prevention.

CV-06Lipoprotein(a)

Inputs: Lp(a) never measured

One-time measurement is recommended by several societies.

CV-10LDL-C above the pathway threshold on treatment

Inputs: LDL-C 88 mg/dL · threshold 70 · lipid-lowering therapy active

LDL-C is above the pathway threshold for added therapy.

Evidence

  • EV-ACCAHA-CHOL-2018 · Grundy SM, Stone NJ, Bailey AL, et al. 2018 AHA/ACC/AACVPR/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/ADA/AGS/APhA/ASPC/NLA/PCNA Guideline on the Management of Blood Cholesterol. Circulation. 2019;139(25):e1082-e1143.
  • EV-ACC-ECDP-2022 · Lloyd-Jones DM, Morris PB, Ballantyne CM, et al. 2022 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the Role of Nonstatin Therapies for LDL-Cholesterol Lowering in the Management of ASCVD Risk. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2022;80(14):1366-1418.
  • EV-ESC-EAS-2019 · Mach F, Baigent C, Catapano AL, et al. 2019 ESC/EAS Guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemias. Eur Heart J. 2020;41(1):111-188.

Physician adjudication required. Clinical decision support for physician review. This output organizes guideline categories and risk modifiers. It does not calculate a 10-year risk, select a drug or dose, or replace a shared decision with the patient. Physician adjudication is required.

What it does

  • Places adults in secondary prevention (very high risk or not), severe hypercholesterolemia, the diabetes statin group, or a 10-year risk band.
  • Lists the 2018 risk enhancers present and shows how they weigh in borderline and intermediate risk.
  • Adds Lp(a), apoB, hs-CRP and a coronary artery calcium score as decision aids, with the guideline reading of each.
  • Applies the 2022 ACC thresholds (LDL-C 55 and 70 mg/dL) to patients on therapy, and prompts for overdue lipid monitoring.
  • Raises severe hypertriglyceridemia and acute-event alerts, and prompts a secondary-cause and familial hypercholesterolemia review.

What it never does

  • Calculate a 10-year risk with coefficients of its own.
  • Apply the 5% / 7.5% / 20% categories to a PREVENT result.
  • Name a drug or dose, or quote a trial's percentage reduction.
  • Treat hs-CRP, Lp(a) or apoB as a treatment order.

Safety gates

These gates run before the pattern is shown, and urgent findings are displayed first.

  • Chest pain suggesting an acute coronary syndrome, or stroke symptoms, ends risk estimation and raises an urgent alert.
  • Triglycerides of 1,000 mg/dL or more raise an urgent alert; 500 to 999 raise a priority review.
  • LDL-C of 190 mg/dL or more prompts a secondary-cause and familial hypercholesterolemia review.
  • Patients under 20 are routed to the pediatric lipid pathway.

Inputs

  • LDL-C, HDL-C, total cholesterol, triglycerides
  • A 10-year ASCVD risk from a validated calculator, with the tool used
  • Established ASCVD, events and high-risk conditions, diabetes
  • Lp(a), apoB, hs-CRP, coronary calcium score
  • Family history, blood pressure, smoking, therapy and monitoring dates

Scope

In scope

  • Adults aged 20 and over

Routed out

  • Patients under 20

The full rule catalog

20 active rules and 1 sandbox or context entries. Each has its own page with conditions, outputs and evidence. 21 of 21 active rules are exercised by at least one synthetic case.

Download the catalog as JSON

Synthetic cases

Every case is synthetic. Open one to see the inputs, the full result and the rule trace; then change the values.

CVR-FX-01

Prior myocardial infarction, LDL-C 88 on a statin

Secondary prevention, not very high risk.

CVR-FX-02

Very high risk with LDL-C 62 on maximal therapy

Two events: the threshold is 55.

CVR-FX-03

LDL-C 205 and tendon xanthomas

Severe hypercholesterolemia.

CVR-FX-04

Diabetes at 58 with LDL-C 110

A guideline statin group.

CVR-FX-05

Intermediate risk 12% with enhancers

Family history and an hs-CRP of 3.4.

CVR-FX-06

Borderline risk 6.0%, no enhancers

Nothing to push the decision either way.

CVR-FX-07

Low risk 2.1%

A 45-year-old with a normal profile.

CVR-FX-08

High risk 23%

Above the 20% line.

CVR-FX-09

A PREVENT result is entered

The 2018 thresholds are not applied.

CVR-FX-10

Lp(a) 180 nmol/L

An elevated Lp(a) in intermediate risk.

CVR-FX-11

Lp(a) never measured, family history of premature ASCVD

A one-time measurement prompt.

CVR-FX-12

apoB 138 with LDL-C 115

Particle burden above what LDL-C suggests.

CVR-FX-13

Triglycerides 640 mg/dL

Severe hypertriglyceridemia.

CVR-FX-14

Triglycerides 1,320 mg/dL

Urgent range.

CVR-FX-15

Intermediate risk with a coronary calcium score of 0

May reasonably defer, with no exceptions present.

CVR-FX-16

Intermediate risk with a calcium score of 240

Favors a statin.

CVR-FX-17

On a statin, no lipid panel for 18 months

A monitoring gap.

CVR-FX-18

Chest pain right now

Not a risk-estimation context.

CVR-FX-19

A 31-year-old

Under 40 the 10-year estimate is not used.

CVR-FX-20

A 17-year-old is outside the adult pathway

Pediatric lipid pathway.

CVR-FX-21

An 84-year-old

Individualized decisions.

CVR-FX-22

Smoker with blood pressure 148/92

Modifiable factors.

CVR-FX-23

Metabolic syndrome with triglycerides 210, apoB not measured

A prompt for particle number.

CVR-FX-24

No lipid panel

Nothing to place the patient with.

CVR-FX-25

Secondary prevention at goal

LDL-C 48 in very high risk.

CVR-FX-26

Chronic kidney disease and non-HDL-C 210

Enhancers in intermediate risk.

Evidence

Guidelines and references the rules cite. Each rule page lists the ones that support it.

  • EV-ACCAHA-CHOL-2018Grundy SM, Stone NJ, Bailey AL, et al. 2018 AHA/ACC/AACVPR/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/ADA/AGS/APhA/ASPC/NLA/PCNA Guideline on the Management of Blood Cholesterol. Circulation. 2019;139(25):e1082-e1143.

    Supports: Risk categories, risk enhancers, statin benefit groups and the coronary-calcium decision aid Very-high-risk ASCVD definition

  • EV-ACC-ECDP-2022Lloyd-Jones DM, Morris PB, Ballantyne CM, et al. 2022 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the Role of Nonstatin Therapies for LDL-Cholesterol Lowering in the Management of ASCVD Risk. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2022;80(14):1366-1418.

    Supports: LDL-C thresholds of 55 and 70 mg/dL for considering added therapy in ASCVD

  • EV-ACCAHA-PREV-2019Arnett DK, Blumenthal RS, Albert MA, et al. 2019 ACC/AHA Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease. Circulation. 2019;140(11):e596-e646.

    Supports: Primary prevention approach, risk estimation and modifiable risk factors

  • EV-PREVENT-2024Khan SS, Matsushita K, Sang Y, et al. Development and Validation of the American Heart Association's PREVENT Equations. Circulation. 2024;149(6):430-449.

    Supports: Race-free risk equations whose output is not interchangeable with the Pooled Cohort Equations

  • EV-ESC-EAS-2019Mach F, Baigent C, Catapano AL, et al. 2019 ESC/EAS Guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemias. Eur Heart J. 2020;41(1):111-188.

    Supports: At least one lifetime measurement of Lp(a)

  • EV-NLA-2015Jacobson TA, Ito MK, Maki KC, et al. National Lipid Association recommendations for patient-centered management of dyslipidemia: Part 1. J Clin Lipidol. 2015;9(2):129-169.

    Supports: apoB as a marker of atherogenic particle number, particularly with raised triglycerides

  • EV-JUPITER-2008Ridker PM, Danielson E, Fonseca FAH, et al. Rosuvastatin to Prevent Vascular Events in Men and Women with Elevated C-Reactive Protein. N Engl J Med. 2008;359(21):2195-2207.

    Supports: hs-CRP ≥2 mg/L identified a population in whom a statin lowered events despite a low LDL-C

  • EV-ACC-TG-2021Virani SS, Morris PB, Agarwala A, et al. 2021 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the Management of ASCVD Risk Reduction in Patients With Persistent Hypertriglyceridemia. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2021;78(9):960-993.

    Supports: Severe hypertriglyceridemia: ≥500 mg/dL carries a pancreatitis risk; ≥1000 mg/dL needs urgent attention

Frequently asked questions

Does the engine calculate my patient's 10-year risk?

No. It takes a risk you enter from a validated calculator. The Pooled Cohort Equations are race-specific and the PREVENT equations are long, and Biod will not hand-code coefficients it cannot verify.

Why are the 5%, 7.5% and 20% categories not applied to PREVENT?

The 2018 guideline set those thresholds for the Pooled Cohort Equations. PREVENT estimates are not interchangeable with them, so the engine reports the number and leaves the category to the physician, who applies the thresholds that suit the tool.

What are risk enhancers and how are they used?

They are the factors listed in the 2018 guideline that can tip a statin discussion in borderline and intermediate risk, such as family history of premature ASCVD, chronic kidney disease, metabolic syndrome, Lp(a) of 50 mg/dL or more, apoB of 130 or more and hs-CRP of 2 or more. They inform a shared decision and do not mandate treatment.

What LDL-C thresholds does it use on treatment?

For established ASCVD it uses the 2022 ACC pathway: 70 mg/dL, or 55 mg/dL in very-high-risk patients, as the point to consider added therapy. It reports that the threshold is exceeded; the choice of drug is the physician's.

How does it treat a coronary artery calcium score?

As a decision aid in borderline and intermediate risk. A score of 0 lowers risk and may allow deferring treatment, unless diabetes, family history or smoking weakens that. A score of 1 to 99 favors a statin, especially from age 55, and 100 or more favors one.

Specification status: Executable specification v1.0.0, authored by Biod from the narrative CPE-007 specification and current guidelines. Reviewed by Dr. Vinicius Amaral, D.O. Not for clinical production use.

Clinical review: Dr. Vinicius Amaral, D.O., Medical reviewer, 2026-10-03.

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